As the Indiana Pacers prepare to face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 4 of the NBA Finals, they hold a surprising 2-1 lead in the series, defying expectations as heavy underdogs. The Pacers aim to secure a third win and move within one victory of the championship, while the Thunder are desperate to turn their fortunes around after struggling on the road throughout the playoffs.

In Game 3, the Thunder faltered in the fourth quarter, leading to a disappointing loss. Oddsmakers still favor the Thunder, but their track record of failing to cover the spread on the road—going 0-8 this postseason—raises questions about their ability to perform under pressure away from home.

The betting odds for the matchup are as follows:

• Spread: Thunder -6, Pacers +6
• Moneyline: Thunder -218, Pacers +180
• Total: 225.5 points

In terms of player prop bets, Oklahoma City's Chet Holmgren is projected to struggle, with a suggested bet of UNDER 1.5 made three-pointers. Despite a strong performance in Game 2, he has been inconsistent, shooting poorly from beyond the arc in the playoffs. Conversely, Indiana's Tyrese Haliburton is a promising prop bet for OVER 14.5 combined rebounds and assists, following a strong showing in Game 3 where he recorded 11 assists and nine rebounds.

The Pacers have shown resilience and adaptability throughout the playoffs, ranking first in effective field goal percentage and excelling in defensive strategies that limit the Thunder's transition game. With their solid track record as underdogs this season, the Pacers are poised to keep the game competitive.

Given the Thunder's road struggles and the Pacers' solid performance, the prediction is for the Pacers to cover the spread, even if they don't secure the win. As the series progresses, all eyes will be on how the Thunder adjust their strategy and whether they can overcome their road woes in this crucial Game 4 matchup.